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Adbot Ad Engagement Forecasting Challenge

Helping South Africa
$500 USD
Completed (~2 years ago)
Forecast
451 joined
112 active
Starti
Apr 04, 24
Closei
May 19, 24
Reveali
May 19, 24
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the_specialist
Optinum Solutions Pty
Few advise on how to achieve a high score (20.03251794 on Public LB)
Platform · 12 Apr 2024, 08:50 · 5

1. Keep your model as simple as possible. The key to achieving high score is the ability of your model to generalize well.

2. You may try ensembling models but I don't think it offers much value.

3. Spend some time to understand the dataset. An understanding of the dataset will help to choose the right model.

4. Don't be afraid to try as much models as possible.

good luck

Discussion 5 answers
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AdeptSchneider22
Kenyatta University

Are you using a recurrent neural network or ARIMA model for the forecasting? Thanks for the tips.

12 Apr 2024, 10:11
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the_specialist
Optinum Solutions Pty

In my opinion, RNN will be an over-kill. You may try it and let us know how it goes.

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AdeptSchneider22
Kenyatta University

I tried it and the R2 score was good but once I uploaded the submission file the R2 score was way higher. But I think I'm probably not doing something right.

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the_specialist
Optinum Solutions Pty

I will advise that you have a look at your submission file and do a sense check. The error could be in the submission file

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AdeptSchneider22
Kenyatta University

Yeah, I'll check it out.