In the remote Kalam region of Pakistan, micro-hydropower plants (MHPs) are the backbone of energy generation for rural communities. But nature doesn’t always play along. Water flow fluctuates, maintenance disrupts supply, and the weather throws in its own surprises. From rainfall to temperature shifts, climate conditions impact how much energy is available—and how much is needed.
In this challenge, your task is to build a model that accurately predicts energy load generation (in kWh), drawing on MHP data like voltage, current, power factors, and energy metrics, combined with climate indicators like temperature, dew point, wind speed, and precipitation. The goal is to uncover patterns and insights that can improve forecasting, optimise energy distribution, and enhance system reliability.
Predicting energy needs means less waste, fewer blackouts, and smarter resource management—all crucial for keeping the lights on in off-grid communities. Understanding how climate affects energy demand, and what that means for sustainable power planning, is a critical insight for sustainable power projects all over the world.
The data was curated by the Center for Intelligent Systems and Networks Research (CISNR), University of Engineering and Technology Peshawar.
This challenge is sponsored and supported by IBM SkillsBuild, who have made a number of courses and digital credentials available through the IBM SkillsBuild platform. Specifically, we recommend the following courses to help you get ahead in this challenge:
IBM SkillsBuild Applied Data Science With Python
IBM SkillsBuild Data Fundamentals
IBM SkillsBuild Artificial Intelligence Fundamentals
And don’t forget to check out the other IBM SkillsBuild courses available on Zindi.
About IBM SkillsBuild
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About Center for Intelligent Systems and Networks Research (CISNR)
CISNR is registered with the Asian Development Bank & World Bank as a consulting firm. It provides consultation regarding emerging & existing solutions in a vast area of technological & social development sectors. Global expertise, applied locally CISNR allows rapid engagement scalability, right from analysis to implementation. We aim at providing smart and intelligent solutions to the society that create a balance in managing safety, economic growth and environment through accurate data acquisition and technology.
The evaluation metric for this competition is Root Mean Squared Error.
For every row in the dataset, submission files should contain 2 columns: ID and Target.
Your submission file should look like this (numbers to show format only):
ID kwh
2024-09-24_consumer_device_12_data_user_1 0.31
2024-09-25_consumer_device_12_data_user_1 0.24
🥇 1st Place: @data_style_bender
🥈 2nd Place: @Belal_Emad
🥉 3rd Place: @rafael_zimmermann
1st prize: $1 500 USD
2nd prize: $900 USD
3rd prize: $600 USD
There are 5 000 Zindi points available. You can read more about Zindi points here.
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This challenge is open to all.
Teams and collaboration
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Datasets, packages and general principles
The solution must use publicly-available, open-source packages only.
You may use only the datasets provided for this challenge.
You may use pretrained models as long as they are openly available to everyone.
Automated machine learning tools such as automl are not permitted.
If the error metric requires probabilities to be submitted, do not set thresholds (or round your probabilities) to improve your place on the leaderboard. In order to ensure that the client receives the best solution Zindi will need the raw probabilities. This will allow the clients to set thresholds to their own needs.
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You must notify Zindi immediately upon learning of any unauthorised transmission of or unauthorised access to the challenge data, and work with Zindi to rectify any unauthorised transmission or access.
Your solution must not infringe the rights of any third party and you must be legally entitled to assign ownership of all rights of copyright in and to the winning solution code to Zindi.
Submissions and winning
You may make a maximum of 10 submissions per day.
You may make a maximum of 300 submissions for this challenge.
Before the end of the challenge you need to choose 2 submissions to be judged on for the private leaderboard. If you do not make a selection your 2 best public leaderboard submissions will be used to score on the private leaderboard.
During the challenge, your best public score will be displayed regardless of the submissions you have selected. When the challenge closes your best private score out of the 2 selected submissions will be displayed.
Zindi maintains a public leaderboard and a private leaderboard for each challenge. The Public Leaderboard includes approximately 20% of the test dataset. While the challenge is open, the Public Leaderboard will rank the submitted solutions by the accuracy score they achieve. Upon close of the challenge, the Private Leaderboard, which covers the other 80% of the test dataset, will be made public and will constitute the final ranking for the challenge.
Note that to count, your submission must first pass processing. If your submission fails during the processing step, it will not be counted and not receive a score; nor will it count against your daily submission limit. If you encounter problems with your submission file, your best course of action is to ask for advice on the challenge page.
If you are in the top 10 at the time the leaderboard closes, we will email you to request your code. On receipt of email, you will have 48 hours to respond and submit your code following the Reproducibility of submitted code guidelines detailed below. Failure to respond will result in disqualification.
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If two solutions earn identical scores on the leaderboard, the tiebreaker will be the date and time in which the submission was made (the earlier solution will win).
The winners will be paid via bank transfer, PayPal if payment is less than or equivalent to $100, or other international money transfer platform. International transfer fees will be deducted from the total prize amount, unless the prize money is under $500, in which case the international transfer fees will be covered by Zindi. In all cases, the winners are responsible for any other fees applied by their own bank or other institution for receiving the prize money. All taxes imposed on prizes are the sole responsibility of the winners. The top winners or team leaders will be required to present Zindi with proof of identification, proof of residence and a letter from your bank confirming your banking details. Winners will be paid in USD or the currency of the challenge. If your account cannot receive US Dollars or the currency of the challenge then your bank will need to provide proof of this and Zindi will try to accommodate this.
Please note that due to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, we are not currently able to make prize payments to winners located in Russia. We apologise for any inconvenience that may cause, and will handle any issues that arise on a case-by-case basis.
Payment will be made after code review and sealing the leaderboard.
You acknowledge and agree that Zindi may, without any obligation to do so, remove or disqualify an individual, team, or account if Zindi believes that such individual, team, or account is in violation of these rules. Entry into this challenge constitutes your acceptance of these official challenge rules.
Zindi is committed to providing solutions of value to our clients and partners. To this end, we reserve the right to disqualify your submission on the grounds of usability or value. This includes but is not limited to the use of data leaks or any other practices that we deem to compromise the inherent value of your solution.
Zindi also reserves the right to disqualify you and/or your submissions from any challenge if we believe that you violated the rules or violated the spirit of the challenge or the platform in any other way. The disqualifications are irrespective of your position on the leaderboard and completely at the discretion of Zindi.
Please refer to the FAQs and Terms of Use for additional rules that may apply to this challenge. We reserve the right to update these rules at any time.
Reproducibility of submitted code
If your submitted code does not reproduce your score on the leaderboard, we reserve the right to adjust your rank to the score generated by the code you submitted.
If your code does not run you will be dropped from the top 10. Please make sure your code runs before submitting your solution.
Always set the seed. Rerunning your model should always place you at the same position on the leaderboard. When running your solution, if randomness shifts you down the leaderboard we reserve the right to adjust your rank to the closest score that your submission reproduces.
Custom packages in your submission notebook will not be accepted.
You may only use tools available to everyone i.e. no paid services or free trials that require a credit card.
Read this article on how to prepare your documentation and this article on how to ensure a successful code review.
Consequences of breaking any rules of the challenge or submission guidelines:
Teams with individuals who are caught cheating will not be eligible to win prizes or points in the challenge in which the cheating occurred, regardless of the individuals’ knowledge of or participation in the offence.
Teams with individuals who have previously committed an offence will not be eligible for any prizes for any challenges during the 6-month probation period.
Monitoring of submissions
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