RMB Monthly Mini Challenge #1: Nowcast April
Can you nowcast South Africa’s April CPI?
Prize
$600 USD
Time
~1 month to go
Participants
34 active · 317 enrolled
Helping
South Africa
Intermediate
Forecast
Financial Services
About

Datasets provided for this challenge are from various sources including the Stats SA portal. The datasets include:

  • New car sales (NAAMSA)
  • Consumer Confidence (Bureau for Economic Research)
  • CO2 Emissions (World Bank)
  • Consumer Spending (SA Reserve Bank)
  • Disposable Personal Income (SA Reserve Bank)
  • Employed Persons (Statistics SA)
  • Employment Rate (Statistics SA)
  • Unemployment Rate (Statistics SA)
  • GDP (World Bank, Statistics SA)
  • Households Debt to Income (SA Reserve Bank)
  • Household Saving Ratio (Statistics SA)
  • Retail Sales (Statistics SA)

The input/training data for this challenge are the above datasets from March 2022 - February 2023.

If you would like to use an additional dataset, please submit your dataset to this form by 10 April 2023 and it will be added to the challenge by 17 April 2023.

Datasets submitted after 10 April will be vetted and if they are acceptable will be added to Mini Challenge #2.

You can use any dataset you download from these links.

Files
Description
Files
Air quality data for locations in South Africa.
Updated file with February 2023 CPI values.
This is a starter notebook to help you make your first submission. If the file open weirdly you can ctrl-S and it will save to your download folder.
Is an example of what your submission file should look like. The order of the rows does not matter, but the names of the "ID" must be correct.
This is a starter notebook to help you make your first submission. If the file open weirdly you can ctrl-S and it will save to your download folder.
Headline CPI and Sub-Categories from 2022
Rental Inflation vs General Inflation
Ticker Data for the All Share Index, Top 40 Index, Small Cap Index, Mid Cap Index, Large Cap Index and Fin 15
Foreign Exchange Data for USD/ZAR, GBP/ZAR, EUR/ZAR