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RMB Monthly Mini Challenge #1: Nowcast April

Helping South Africa
$600 USD
Completed (almost 3 years ago)
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592 joined
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Starti
Mar 21, 23
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May 01, 23
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May 24, 23
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skaak
Ferra Solutions
1 more day
Platform · 23 May 2023, 00:17 · 3

Tomorrow STATSSA will release April CPI ... buckle up everybody, here we go.

Discussion 3 answers
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skaak
Ferra Solutions

fwiw, based on recently closed bio ...

Here a better metric would be RMSE of log of CPI and log of prediction.

At least here variance is relatively low, so no big deal ... but perhaps please be careful when you select evaluation metric.

23 May 2023, 00:21
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wuuthraad

@skaak my good sir! we need to stop meeting like this( in competitions), hahaha!. I recently joined the second month of the competiton seeing what this steely eyed dragon can do. Glad to see you're still around and kicking!

23 May 2023, 04:37
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skaak
Ferra Solutions

dragon!!!!!

steely eyed né. This is the type of thing you can win for breakfast.

Personally, I did real real quick and dirty model - my plan is to play first 3 small ones and if that works will do the work for big one, otherwise I think I'll pass. At least RMB is shaking the purse a bit.

Thanks goodness for comps like this, at least we stay in touch. Life would be boring without it.